Do not start with a profession. Start with today's decision.
Recipe margin, liquid farming, order commission, a profession reset and a new demand window need different models. Every card opens a prepared scenario or playbook.
The recipe sells in 70% of cycles
Test post-fee margin, break-even and capital at risk for a 20-craft batch.
Price fell 20% after new supply
See when a positive spread turns into negative expected margin.
A liquid material farm
Compare 3,420 listed GPH with the gold that actually clears the market.
An expensive item sells only 25%
Test monetization rate and the inventory left after a long session.
Commission covers skill and time
2,500 gold per order against materials, recraft reserve and your target GPH.
A large tip with expensive crafter reagents
Headline commission can fall below the economic floor after materials and time.
Should the profession reset be used now?
Choose a market role, demand proof and a test batch before changing Knowledge allocation.
A new season changes demand, not guaranteed margin
Use a small discovery batch and scale only after the first confirmed sell-through.
Three models for three different ways to earn gold
Auction House crafting, material farming and Crafting Orders cannot share one headline margin. Each engine exposes its own cash flow, risk and stop condition.
Crafting Margin: profit after liquidity
The model includes the Auction House cut, sell-through and lost deposit in an unsuccessful listing cycle.
Sell-through is a scenario for one listing cycle. Unsold goods retain value but lock capital and require another listing.
Farm Liquidity: your real gold/hour
Listed price becomes effective GPH only after sell-through, the AH cut, expenses and relisting losses.
Crafting Order Floor: what your work needs to earn
Commission must cover crafter materials, expected recraft reserve and time that could have been monetized elsewhere.
The model does not assign a universal price to skill. Target GPH is your time opportunity cost and recraft reserve remains an editable expectation.