Start with the question, then change the numbers
Six entry cases route into three models. Every baseline is editable and never presented as official game economy.
Will the income building pay back before the next major war?
The model returns risk-adjusted payback, horizon net value and ROI.
Can I recruit it now without breaking the reserve?
Cash at target separates an affordable purchase from sustainable upkeep.
Which option is worth more across 12 turns?
Both options are compared with delay and recurring-income risk.
Should I invest in an unstable frontier?
A risk haircut shows when attractive income stops paying for capital lock-up.
How much burn can the treasury carry to the objective?
The model calculates maximum sustainable outflow and safe runway.
How should the reserve change against more active AI?
Raise horizon, new outflow and reserve to stress-test the case.
Three models that turn a campaign into a decision
The values below are demonstration baselines. Replace them with numbers from your campaign and test payback, runway or the counterfactual immediately.
Building Payback: will the building return its gold
Enter actual cost, income delta, construction delay, horizon and the risk of losing the flow. The model assumes no universal faction values.
The risk haircut is a scenario assumption, not a hidden game formula.
War Reserve: is the new army truly affordable
The purchase passes only after recruitment cost, existing upkeep, new burn and the emergency reserve.
Maximum sustainable outflow is total affordable per-turn spending across the selected horizon.
Sack vs Occupy: immediate payout or future flow
Options A and B each receive immediate value, recurring value, delay and risk. Enter values from the actual settlement screen.
Non-cash strategic value can be added to an option's immediate value and should be treated as judgement.